Rockies @ Dodgers
2026-05-25Win probability
COL
24.9%
LAD
61.8%
Extras needed
13.4%
Expected runs
COL expected
2.98
LAD expected
4.33
Total expected
7.31
Total — 10/median/90
4 / 7 / 11
Most likely final scores
| Score (COL–LAD) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 – 4 | 4.28% |
| 2 – 3 | 4.23% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.03% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.93% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.85% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.69% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.33% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.22% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 12.4% | 87.6% |
| 6.5 | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| 7.5 | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| 8.5 | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| 9.5 | 20.2% | 79.8% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →