Monday, May 25, 2026
13 games on the slate. Click a row for the full distribution. · Watch yesterday's recap →
The model went 9/14 yesterday.
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| Matchup | Win prob | E[runs] | Total | P(over 8.5) | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC @ PIT | PIT 51% | 5.4 – 6.0 | 11.4 | 80% | 5–6 |
| TB @ BAL | TB 49% | 4.9 – 4.4 | 9.3 | 58% | 5–4 |
| MIN @ CWS | CWS 52% | 4.9 – 5.5 | 10.4 | 70% | 5–5 |
| STL @ MIL | MIL 51% | 4.4 – 5.0 | 9.4 | 60% | 4–4 |
| NYY @ KC | NYY 48% | 3.7 – 3.3 | 7.0 | 26% | 3–3 |
| CIN @ NYM | NYM 45% | 4.5 – 4.7 | 9.2 | 57% | 4–4 |
| ARI @ SF | ARI 48% | 4.7 – 4.3 | 9.0 | 54% | 4–3 |
| WSH @ CLE | CLE 56% | 3.8 – 4.7 | 8.5 | 49% | 4–4 |
| PHI @ SD | PHI 44% | 3.4 – 3.3 | 6.7 | 22% | 3–3 |
| HOU @ TEX | TEX 49% | 2.9 – 3.3 | 6.2 | 18% | 2–3 |
| MIA @ TOR | TOR 60% | 4.1 – 5.5 | 9.6 | 62% | 4–5 |
| COL @ LAD | LAD 62% | 3.0 – 4.3 | 7.3 | 31% | 2–4 |
| SEA @ OAK | SEA 59% | 5.6 – 4.3 | 10.0 | 66% | 6–4 |