Rangers @ Angels
2026-05-23Win probability
TEX
67.6%
LAA
20.8%
Extras needed
11.6%
Expected runs
TEX expected
5.28
LAA expected
3.37
Total expected
8.65
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–LAA) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 3 | 3.81% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.75% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.48% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.26% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.25% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.03% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.97% |
| 3 – 3 | 2.88% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 25.6% | 74.4% |
| 6.5 | 75.8% | 24.2% |
| 7.5 | 62.7% | 37.3% |
| 8.5 | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| 9.5 | 36.3% | 63.7% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →