Dodgers @ Brewers
2026-05-23Win probability
LAD
54.3%
MIL
32.3%
Extras needed
13.4%
Expected runs
LAD expected
4.44
MIL expected
3.63
Total expected
8.07
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAD–MIL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 3 | 4.02% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.57% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.54% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.52% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.45% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.37% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.07% |
| 3 – 2 | 3.05% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 19.1% | 80.9% |
| 6.5 | 70.3% | 29.7% |
| 7.5 | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| 8.5 | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| 9.5 | 29.8% | 70.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →