Rangers @ Angels
2026-05-22Win probability
TEX
71.0%
LAA
18.0%
Extras needed
11.1%
Expected runs
TEX expected
5.16
LAA expected
3.03
Total expected
8.19
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–LAA) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 3 | 3.92% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.82% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.76% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.70% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.65% |
| 6 – 2 | 3.26% |
| 3 – 2 | 3.06% |
| 3 – 3 | 2.99% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 20.2% | 79.8% |
| 6.5 | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| 7.5 | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| 8.5 | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| 9.5 | 30.4% | 69.6% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →