Dodgers @ Brewers
2026-05-22Win probability
LAD
59.1%
MIL
28.1%
Extras needed
12.8%
Expected runs
LAD expected
4.70
MIL expected
3.54
Total expected
8.24
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAD–MIL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 4 | 3.82% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.78% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.72% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.49% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.40% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.38% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.32% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.04% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% |
| 6.5 | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| 7.5 | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| 8.5 | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| 9.5 | 30.9% | 69.1% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →