Friday, May 22, 2026
15 games on the slate. Click a row for the full distribution. · Watch yesterday's recap →
The model went 6/14 yesterday.
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| Matchup | Win prob | E[runs] | Total | P(over 8.5) | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU @ CHC | CHC 67% | 3.9 – 5.8 | 9.7 | 62% | 4–4 |
| CLE @ PHI | CLE 55% | 5.4 – 4.6 | 10.0 | 67% | 5–4 |
| STL @ CIN | STL 59% | 5.9 – 4.5 | 10.4 | 71% | 5–4 |
| TB @ NYY | NYY 64% | 4.3 – 6.0 | 10.3 | 71% | 4–6 |
| PIT @ TOR | PIT 52% | 4.8 – 4.1 | 8.8 | 53% | 4–4 |
| MIN @ BOS | MIN 48% | 3.7 – 3.3 | 7.0 | 26% | 3–3 |
| NYM @ MIA | MIA 47% | 3.8 – 4.1 | 7.9 | 38% | 4–3 |
| DET @ BAL | BAL 54% | 4.2 – 4.9 | 9.1 | 56% | 4–4 |
| WSH @ ATL | ATL 64% | 3.9 – 5.5 | 9.4 | 60% | 4–5 |
| LAD @ MIL | LAD 59% | 4.7 – 3.5 | 8.2 | 43% | 4–4 |
| SEA @ KC | KC 44% | 4.1 – 4.2 | 8.3 | 44% | 4–4 |
| TEX @ LAA | TEX 71% | 5.2 – 3.0 | 8.2 | 43% | 4–3 |
| COL @ ARI | ARI 59% | 3.7 – 4.9 | 8.6 | 49% | 3–4 |
| OAK @ SD | OAK 56% | 3.8 – 2.9 | 6.7 | 24% | 3–3 |
| CWS @ SF | CWS 54% | 4.4 – 3.6 | 8.1 | 42% | 4–3 |