Athletics @ Angels
2026-05-21Win probability
OAK
76.6%
LAA
13.6%
Extras needed
9.8%
Expected runs
OAK expected
4.89
LAA expected
2.46
Total expected
7.34
Total — 10/median/90
4 / 7 / 11
Most likely final scores
| Score (OAK–LAA) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 2 | 4.60% |
| 4 – 2 | 4.56% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.95% |
| 6 – 2 | 3.91% |
| 5 – 1 | 3.85% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.75% |
| 4 – 1 | 3.57% |
| 3 – 2 | 3.56% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 12.9% | 87.1% |
| 6.5 | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| 7.5 | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| 8.5 | 31.8% | 68.2% |
| 9.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →