Thursday, May 21, 2026
7 games on the slate. Click a row for the full distribution. · Watch yesterday's recap →
The model went 9/15 yesterday.
Free daily email — the model's matchup projections, every morning before first pitch.
Thank you!
Check your inbox to confirm — first email arrives tomorrow morning.
| Matchup | Win prob | E[runs] | Total | P(over 8.5) | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE @ DET | DET 48% | 4.0 – 4.3 | 8.2 | 45% | 4–4 |
| PIT @ STL | PIT 58% | 4.8 – 3.6 | 8.4 | 47% | 5–3 |
| NYM @ WSH | NYM 52% | 5.9 – 5.3 | 11.2 | 79% | 5–5 |
| ATL @ MIA | ATL 67% | 5.4 – 3.6 | 9.1 | 55% | 5–3 |
| TOR @ NYY | NYY 71% | 3.4 – 5.6 | 9.0 | 54% | 2–5 |
| OAK @ LAA | OAK 77% | 4.9 – 2.5 | 7.3 | 32% | 5–2 |
| COL @ ARI | ARI 58% | 3.9 – 5.1 | 9.0 | 54% | 3–5 |