Rangers @ Rockies
2026-05-20Win probability
TEX
68.1%
COL
21.4%
Extras needed
10.5%
Expected runs
TEX expected
6.23
COL expected
4.19
Total expected
10.42
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 10 / 15
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–COL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 6 – 4 | 3.36% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.28% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.04% |
| 5 – 3 | 2.90% |
| 7 – 3 | 2.81% |
| 7 – 4 | 2.75% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.48% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.44% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| 6.5 | 89.5% | 10.5% |
| 7.5 | 82.1% | 17.9% |
| 8.5 | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| 9.5 | 59.6% | 40.4% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →