Wednesday, May 20, 2026
15 games on the slate. Click a row for the full distribution. · Watch yesterday's recap →
The model went 9/15 yesterday.
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| Matchup | Win prob | E[runs] | Total | P(over 8.5) | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN @ PHI | PHI 45% | 4.7 – 4.9 | 9.6 | 61% | 4–4 |
| BAL @ TB | TB 82% | 3.3 – 6.7 | 9.9 | 67% | 3–6 |
| HOU @ MIN | MIN 58% | 4.4 – 5.5 | 9.9 | 65% | 4–5 |
| TEX @ COL | TEX 68% | 6.2 – 4.2 | 10.4 | 72% | 6–4 |
| SF @ ARI | ARI 58% | 3.6 – 4.7 | 8.3 | 43% | 3–4 |
| CWS @ SEA | SEA 52% | 3.7 – 4.3 | 8.0 | 40% | 3–4 |
| ATL @ MIA | ATL 60% | 5.1 – 3.8 | 8.9 | 53% | 4–3 |
| CLE @ DET | DET 50% | 4.1 – 4.5 | 8.5 | 48% | 3–4 |
| NYM @ WSH | NYM 58% | 6.0 – 5.0 | 11.0 | 76% | 6–5 |
| TOR @ NYY | NYY 73% | 3.6 – 5.9 | 9.5 | 60% | 3–5 |
| BOS @ KC | KC 45% | 4.3 – 4.4 | 8.8 | 51% | 4–3 |
| MIL @ CHC | CHC 46% | 4.0 – 4.2 | 8.2 | 43% | 3–4 |
| PIT @ STL | PIT 52% | 4.5 – 3.9 | 8.5 | 47% | 4–3 |
| LAD @ SD | LAD 80% | 5.6 – 2.6 | 8.2 | 44% | 5–2 |
| OAK @ LAA | OAK 77% | 4.8 – 2.3 | 7.1 | 29% | 5–2 |