Rangers @ Rockies
2026-05-19Win probability
TEX
59.2%
COL
29.1%
Extras needed
11.7%
Expected runs
TEX expected
5.79
COL expected
4.53
Total expected
10.32
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 10 / 15
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–COL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 6 – 4 | 3.08% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.98% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.87% |
| 6 – 5 | 2.83% |
| 7 – 4 | 2.77% |
| 6 – 3 | 2.66% |
| 4 – 3 | 2.55% |
| 5 – 3 | 2.48% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| 6.5 | 89.2% | 10.8% |
| 7.5 | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| 8.5 | 71.1% | 28.9% |
| 9.5 | 59.5% | 40.5% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →