Giants @ D-backs
2026-05-19Win probability
SF
29.2%
ARI
57.3%
Extras needed
13.5%
Expected runs
SF expected
3.64
ARI expected
4.65
Total expected
8.29
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (SF–ARI) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 4 | 4.28% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.72% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.52% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.45% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.34% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.30% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.17% |
| 3 – 6 | 2.81% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 21.5% | 78.5% |
| 6.5 | 72.8% | 27.2% |
| 7.5 | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| 8.5 | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| 9.5 | 31.9% | 68.1% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →