Athletics @ Angels
2026-05-19Win probability
OAK
70.0%
LAA
16.7%
Extras needed
13.3%
Expected runs
OAK expected
3.99
LAA expected
2.17
Total expected
6.15
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 6 / 9
Most likely final scores
| Score (OAK–LAA) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 2 | 5.30% |
| 3 – 2 | 5.26% |
| 4 – 1 | 4.89% |
| 3 – 1 | 4.66% |
| 2 – 2 | 4.20% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.01% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.97% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.79% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 5.0% | 95.0% |
| 6.5 | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| 7.5 | 27.7% | 72.3% |
| 8.5 | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| 9.5 | 9.8% | 90.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →