Indians @ Tigers
2026-05-19Win probability
CLE
36.6%
DET
49.5%
Extras needed
13.9%
Expected runs
CLE expected
4.08
DET expected
4.56
Total expected
8.65
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (CLE–DET) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.65% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.54% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.33% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.30% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.22% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.03% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.92% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.78% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 26.3% | 73.7% |
| 6.5 | 76.3% | 23.7% |
| 7.5 | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| 8.5 | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| 9.5 | 37.7% | 62.3% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →