Tuesday, May 19, 2026
15 games on the slate. Click a row for the full distribution. · Watch yesterday's recap →
The model went 6/14 yesterday.
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| Matchup | Win prob | E[runs] | Total | P(over 8.5) | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ MIA | ATL 56% | 4.8 – 3.8 | 8.7 | 50% | 5–3 |
| BAL @ TB | TB 81% | 3.5 – 6.8 | 10.3 | 71% | 4–6 |
| CIN @ PHI | PHI 48% | 4.8 – 5.1 | 9.9 | 66% | 4–4 |
| CLE @ DET | DET 50% | 4.1 – 4.6 | 8.6 | 50% | 3–5 |
| NYM @ WSH | NYM 61% | 5.9 – 4.6 | 10.5 | 72% | 6–4 |
| TOR @ NYY | NYY 72% | 3.6 – 5.9 | 9.5 | 61% | 3–5 |
| BOS @ KC | KC 50% | 4.2 – 4.7 | 8.8 | 52% | 4–4 |
| HOU @ MIN | MIN 60% | 4.6 – 5.9 | 10.4 | 71% | 4–5 |
| MIL @ CHC | CHC 49% | 4.0 – 4.4 | 8.3 | 46% | 4–4 |
| PIT @ STL | PIT 55% | 4.4 – 3.5 | 7.9 | 40% | 4–3 |
| TEX @ COL | TEX 59% | 5.8 – 4.5 | 10.3 | 71% | 6–4 |
| OAK @ LAA | OAK 70% | 4.0 – 2.2 | 6.2 | 17% | 4–2 |
| CWS @ SEA | SEA 52% | 3.9 – 4.5 | 8.4 | 46% | 3–4 |
| LAD @ SD | LAD 82% | 5.6 – 2.6 | 8.2 | 44% | 5–2 |
| SF @ ARI | ARI 57% | 3.6 – 4.7 | 8.3 | 45% | 3–4 |