Rangers @ Rockies
2026-05-18Win probability
TEX
60.5%
COL
27.4%
Extras needed
12.1%
Expected runs
TEX expected
5.71
COL expected
4.35
Total expected
10.05
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 10 / 14
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–COL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 4 | 3.26% |
| 6 – 4 | 2.97% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.94% |
| 6 – 5 | 2.87% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.83% |
| 5 – 3 | 2.82% |
| 6 – 3 | 2.64% |
| 4 – 3 | 2.58% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| 6.5 | 87.4% | 12.6% |
| 7.5 | 78.2% | 21.8% |
| 8.5 | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| 9.5 | 55.3% | 44.7% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →