Athletics @ Angels
2026-05-18Win probability
OAK
72.5%
LAA
15.7%
Extras needed
11.8%
Expected runs
OAK expected
4.27
LAA expected
2.25
Total expected
6.52
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 6 / 10
Most likely final scores
| Score (OAK–LAA) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 2 | 5.58% |
| 5 – 2 | 4.80% |
| 3 – 2 | 4.42% |
| 4 – 1 | 4.39% |
| 5 – 1 | 3.96% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.93% |
| 3 – 1 | 3.91% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.79% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 6.7% | 93.3% |
| 6.5 | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| 7.5 | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| 8.5 | 21.1% | 78.9% |
| 9.5 | 12.2% | 87.8% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →