Monday, May 18, 2026
14 games on the slate. Click a row for the full distribution. · Watch yesterday's recap →
The model went 9/15 yesterday.
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| Matchup | Win prob | E[runs] | Total | P(over 8.5) | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ MIA | ATL 70% | 5.2 – 3.3 | 8.5 | 48% | 4–3 |
| BAL @ TB | TB 73% | 3.3 – 5.7 | 9.0 | 55% | 3–5 |
| CIN @ PHI | PHI 47% | 4.8 – 5.2 | 10.0 | 67% | 4–5 |
| CLE @ DET | DET 57% | 3.8 – 4.8 | 8.6 | 49% | 4–4 |
| NYM @ WSH | NYM 49% | 4.8 – 4.4 | 9.2 | 56% | 4–4 |
| TOR @ NYY | NYY 73% | 3.4 – 5.7 | 9.2 | 56% | 3–5 |
| BOS @ KC | KC 53% | 4.3 – 5.0 | 9.3 | 59% | 4–5 |
| HOU @ MIN | MIN 57% | 4.7 – 5.8 | 10.5 | 72% | 4–5 |
| MIL @ CHC | CHC 57% | 3.5 – 4.5 | 8.1 | 41% | 3–4 |
| TEX @ COL | TEX 60% | 5.7 – 4.3 | 10.1 | 67% | 5–4 |
| OAK @ LAA | OAK 73% | 4.3 – 2.3 | 6.5 | 21% | 4–2 |
| CWS @ SEA | SEA 48% | 4.1 – 4.4 | 8.6 | 49% | 3–4 |
| LAD @ SD | LAD 84% | 6.1 – 2.8 | 8.9 | 53% | 6–2 |
| SF @ ARI | ARI 46% | 3.8 – 4.1 | 7.9 | 39% | 3–4 |