Dodgers @ Angels
2026-05-17Win probability
LAD
90.9%
LAA
4.6%
Extras needed
4.5%
Expected runs
LAD expected
6.55
LAA expected
2.22
Total expected
8.77
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAD–LAA) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 6 – 2 | 4.39% |
| 7 – 2 | 3.97% |
| 6 – 1 | 3.82% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.79% |
| 7 – 1 | 3.38% |
| 8 – 2 | 3.26% |
| 5 – 1 | 3.25% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.01% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 26.3% | 73.7% |
| 6.5 | 77.4% | 22.6% |
| 7.5 | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| 8.5 | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| 9.5 | 38.0% | 62.0% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →