Sunday, May 17, 2026
15 games on the slate. Click a row for the full distribution. · Watch yesterday's recap →
The model went 9/15 yesterday.
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| Matchup | Win prob | E[runs] | Total | P(over 8.5) | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA @ TB | TB 67% | 3.4 – 5.3 | 8.7 | 49% | 3–5 |
| BAL @ WSH | WSH 61% | 5.6 – 7.2 | 12.8 | 89% | 5–7 |
| BOS @ ATL | ATL 56% | 3.4 – 4.4 | 7.8 | 38% | 3–3 |
| PHI @ PIT | PIT 54% | 4.2 – 5.0 | 9.2 | 57% | 4–5 |
| CIN @ CLE | CLE 62% | 3.0 – 4.3 | 7.3 | 32% | 2–4 |
| NYY @ NYM | NYY 62% | 4.1 – 2.8 | 6.9 | 26% | 4–3 |
| TOR @ DET | DET 58% | 3.0 – 4.0 | 7.0 | 28% | 2–3 |
| CHC @ CWS | CHC 45% | 4.8 – 4.7 | 9.5 | 61% | 4–4 |
| MIL @ MIN | MIL 50% | 4.4 – 4.0 | 8.4 | 47% | 4–3 |
| TEX @ HOU | TEX 54% | 5.2 – 4.3 | 9.5 | 61% | 5–4 |
| KC @ STL | STL 59% | 3.3 – 4.5 | 7.8 | 38% | 3–4 |
| ARI @ COL | ARI 52% | 5.4 – 4.8 | 10.2 | 69% | 5–4 |
| SF @ OAK | OAK 44% | 4.6 – 4.6 | 9.1 | 56% | 4–4 |
| LAD @ LAA | LAD 91% | 6.6 – 2.2 | 8.8 | 51% | 6–2 |
| SD @ SEA | SD 44% | 3.8 – 3.7 | 7.5 | 35% | 4–3 |