Rangers @ Angels
2026-05-24Win probability
TEX
64.7%
LAA
23.2%
Extras needed
12.1%
Expected runs
TEX expected
5.09
LAA expected
3.45
Total expected
8.54
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–LAA) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 3 | 3.78% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.74% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.27% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.20% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.17% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.11% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.04% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.84% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 24.9% | 75.2% |
| 6.5 | 74.3% | 25.7% |
| 7.5 | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| 8.5 | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| 9.5 | 36.0% | 64.0% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →