Dodgers @ Brewers
2026-05-24Win probability
LAD
62.5%
MIL
24.8%
Extras needed
12.6%
Expected runs
LAD expected
5.02
MIL expected
3.57
Total expected
8.59
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAD–MIL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 3 | 3.93% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.84% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.44% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.42% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.29% |
| 6 – 4 | 3.18% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.06% |
| 6 – 2 | 3.03% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 24.1% | 75.9% |
| 6.5 | 75.5% | 24.5% |
| 7.5 | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| 8.5 | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| 9.5 | 35.6% | 64.3% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →